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Red69
335728.4
755413.5
174728.0
Blue57
245127.6
558511.7
599221.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67644050607080906957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#12
28.40.4
26.727.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.9
End3.8
red by 0.8
2451
#33
27.60.3
27.026.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End6.5
Second
28.00.4
24.324.6
Auto3.6
Teleop22.7
End1.6
red by 6.7
5992
#60
21.30.3
21.020.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.6
End4.0
Third
7554
#50
13.50.4
12.613.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End2.8
red by 1.7
5585
#66
11.70.3
12.912.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
72%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsEarned