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Red66
108618.6
302613.6
490926.8
Blue93
34634.6
115329.7
690920.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688040601006693

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#42
26.80.1
29.028.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.9
End7.0
blue by 7.8
346
#7
34.61.1
30.431.5
Auto5.2
Teleop20.6
End8.8
Second
1086
#57
18.60.1
18.418.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.3
End5.8
blue by 11.1
1153
#23
29.71.1
28.529.6
Auto4.9
Teleop17.6
End7.2
Third
3026
#46
13.60.1
17.117.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.4
End1.0
blue by 6.6
6909
#28
20.21.1
17.218.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsEarned