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Red86
558511.7
253428.0
319725.9
Blue61
481715.9
108618.6
398630.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68665055607580858661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#16
28.00.7
27.528.2
Auto3.4
Teleop17.1
End7.4
blue by 2.5
3986
#25
30.50.1
28.628.5
Auto4.9
Teleop19.8
End5.8
Second
3197
#38
25.90.7
24.425.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End7.1
red by 7.3
1086
#57
18.60.1
19.018.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.3
End5.8
Third
5585
#66
11.70.7
12.913.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End3.1
blue by 4.1
4817
#68
15.90.1
14.914.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned43%HAB Docking oddsEarned