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Red85
61032.5
235820.5
2730.8
Blue59
216833.3
496722.0
745728.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849740601201408559

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#9
32.50.3
32.632.3
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End6.8
blue by 0.8
2168
#30
33.32.2
35.833.6
Auto5.1
Teleop21.5
End6.7
Second
27
#19
30.80.3
28.628.3
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End7.7
red by 2.5
7457
#10
28.32.2
29.627.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End7.7
Third
20.50.3
18.718.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End3.0
blue by 1.5
4967
#47
22.02.2
26.524.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
22%Rocket oddsEarned72%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsMissed100%HAB Docking oddsEarned