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Red26
54826.8
302613.6
496722.0
Blue63
125926.1
217721.7
593421.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75743040506070802663

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#37
26.83.2
30.427.2
Auto5.1
Teleop18.6
End3.1
red by 0.7
1259
#22
26.10.5
26.626.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Second
4967
#47
22.03.2
24.321.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End6.2
red by 0.3
2177
#15
21.70.5
22.121.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.5
End5.6
Third
3026
#46
13.63.2
16.313.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.4
End1.0
blue by 7.8
5934
#54
21.50.5
21.721.2
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
33%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsEarned