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Red64
348920.7
432928.8
17587.8
Blue52
239322.6
752514.1
502220.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58612040801006452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.2
28.128.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End10.3
red by 6.3
2393
#26
22.60.1
22.722.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End6.1
Second
20.70.2
19.920.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End3.8
Level
5022
#24
20.70.1
20.820.7
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Third
1758
#17
7.80.2
7.07.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 6.3
7525
#10
14.10.1
14.214.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End4.1