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Red53
238626.3
630215.1
752514.1
Blue40
502220.7
131910.4
621913.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5043102030607080905340

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.4
21.722.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End9.4
red by 5.6
5022
#24
20.70.0
17.217.2
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Second
6302
#23
15.10.6
14.515.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End4.0
red by 1.6
6219
#47
13.50.1
12.712.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Third
7525
#10
14.10.4
11.211.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End4.1
red by 3.6
1319
#49
10.40.0
10.610.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed