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Red37
17587.8
692818.0
752514.1
Blue18
57449.5
74068.8
751610.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302901020405060703718

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6928
#14
18.01.0
13.214.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End3.9
red by 7.4
7516
#36
10.51.0
7.36.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End2.5
Second
7525
#10
14.10.6
11.612.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End4.1
red by 4.5
5744
#44
9.51.0
10.19.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Third
1758
#17
7.80.7
3.13.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 1.1
7406
#31
8.81.0
9.68.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed