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Red42
398413.8
450416.9
502220.7
Blue42
239322.6
432928.8
621913.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4563203040507080904242

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5022
#24
20.7
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End2.4
blue by 8.1
28.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End10.3
Second
4504
#11
16.9
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End3.1
blue by 5.6
2393
#26
22.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End6.1
Third
3984
#40
13.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End3.0
red by 0.3
6219
#47
13.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed88%HAB Docking oddsEarned