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Red61
500217.1
8018.6
432928.8
Blue18
47648.2
74068.8
621913.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443220405060706118

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.3
24.826.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End10.3
red by 15.3
6219
#47
13.51.4
12.611.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Second
5002
#13
17.11.3
12.413.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End4.1
red by 8.3
7406
#31
8.81.4
8.67.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.3
End4.3
Third
801
#35
8.61.3
4.25.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.2
End1.2
red by 0.5
4764
#50
8.20.8
9.18.3
Auto4.8
Teleop1.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed