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Red50
651719.0
398413.8
153912.6
Blue66
684615.0
34319.6
314015.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404702060805066

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6517
#37
19.01.3
16.918.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End2.3
blue by 0.6
343
#33
19.62.4
14.817.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End2.3
Second
3984
#40
13.81.3
10.311.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End3.0
blue by 1.5
3140
#39
15.31.5
14.616.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Third
1539
#41
12.60.8
11.111.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 2.4
6846
#38
15.02.4
14.717.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed