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Red70
331916.3
446216.9
146616.3
Blue55
502220.7
45768.0
348920.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504420304060707055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4462
#15
16.90.1
17.417.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End3.8
blue by 3.8
5022
#24
20.70.7
18.919.6
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Second
1466
#27
16.30.1
15.015.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End2.8
blue by 4.3
20.70.7
16.817.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End3.8
Third
3319
#19
16.30.1
15.315.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End3.5
red by 8.4
4576
#48
8.00.7
5.86.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed