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Red55
129321.8
34319.6
432928.8
Blue44
684615.0
500217.1
30116.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68372060801005544

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.6
26.125.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End10.3
red by 11.7
5002
#13
17.10.6
13.714.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End4.1
Second
21.80.6
21.420.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End4.0
red by 6.8
6846
#38
15.01.0
17.218.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
343
#33
19.61.1
17.216.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End2.3
red by 13.3
3011
#43
6.30.6
4.55.1
Auto3.1
Teleop0.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed