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Red82
402032.1
630215.1
348920.7
Blue54
314015.3
239322.6
93221.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58612040801008254

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.8
27.028.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.3
End8.0
red by 9.6
2393
#26
22.60.2
22.021.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End6.1
Second
20.71.8
14.416.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End3.8
blue by 0.8
932
#9
21.50.2
19.519.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End4.8
Third
6302
#23
15.13.0
13.416.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End4.0
blue by 0.2
3140
#39
15.30.2
16.015.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsMissed