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Red40
500217.1
238626.3
153912.6
Blue42
348920.7
504521.8
450416.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5045102030406070804042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.5
22.221.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End9.4
red by 4.4
5045
#25
21.80.0
18.218.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End2.4
Second
5002
#13
17.10.6
11.711.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End4.1
blue by 3.5
20.70.0
9.99.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End3.8
Third
1539
#41
12.60.6
13.012.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 4.3
4504
#11
16.90.0
14.214.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed