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Red43
450416.9
57449.5
382419.1
Blue58
751610.5
684615.0
349025.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4655203040506070804358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#29
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End3.4
blue by 6.1
25.20.3
24.524.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End10.3
Second
4504
#11
16.90.0
15.815.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End3.1
red by 1.9
6846
#38
15.00.4
19.218.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
5744
#44
9.50.0
8.48.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
blue by 1.0
7516
#36
10.50.4
8.37.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsEarned