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Red81
432928.8
502220.7
219015.4
Blue57
500217.1
170617.2
651719.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56502030406070808157

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.8
24.826.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End10.3
red by 9.9
6517
#37
19.01.0
17.318.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End2.3
Second
5022
#24
20.71.8
17.118.9
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End2.4
red by 3.5
1706
#32
17.20.6
16.216.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End3.4
Third
2190
#42
15.43.1
11.414.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End4.0
blue by 1.7
5002
#13
17.10.6
14.114.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsEarned