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Red37
382419.1
3419.5
255622.2
Blue59
239322.6
752514.1
384415.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584702040801003759

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2556
#45
22.21.4
20.519.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End3.0
blue by 0.4
2393
#26
22.61.2
21.522.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End6.1
Second
34
#12
19.51.3
15.714.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End3.5
red by 4.4
3844
#22
15.11.6
13.214.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End3.6
Third
3824
#29
19.11.4
18.316.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End3.4
red by 5.1
7525
#10
14.11.2
10.111.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned