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Red76
395928.0
349025.2
446216.9
Blue90
261421.3
426522.9
255622.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73644050607080907690

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.1
27.828.0
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End3.3
red by 5.2
22.90.7
20.821.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Second
25.20.1
25.025.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End10.3
red by 3.0
2556
#45
22.20.7
20.120.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End3.0
Third
4462
#15
16.90.2
16.716.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End3.8
blue by 4.4
2614
#20
21.30.7
19.219.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End6.0