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Red80
683817.8
588334.1
776111.6
Blue69
784023.2
606426.5
63888.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65602040801008069

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.4
33.433.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.4
End9.5
red by 7.6
26.50.3
25.826.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.1
End5.9
Second
17.80.4
17.117.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End2.5
blue by 5.4
23.20.3
22.522.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Third
7761
#30
11.60.5
10.911.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End2.4
red by 2.9
6388
#21
8.70.3
8.18.4
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7