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Red55
78396.6
708618.7
72989.6
Blue15
68745.5
74697.2
638016.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333010204050605515

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.71.1
15.314.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 2.6
6380
#13
16.11.5
11.510.0
Auto2.9
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Second
7298
#17
9.61.1
8.77.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End2.8
red by 2.4
7469
#26
7.21.5
7.45.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Third
7839
#31DQ
6.61.1
7.76.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End0.9
red by 1.1
6874
#32
5.51.5
9.78.2
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed