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Red36
566514.7
63888.7
784023.2
Blue40
754415.4
708618.7
643113.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34380102030506070803640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.4
12.813.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End6.5
red by 4.5
18.70.5
13.514.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Second
5665
#23
14.70.4
12.312.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End4.3
blue by 0.7
15.40.5
12.012.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
Third
6388
#21
8.70.4
7.27.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
blue by 4.3
6431
#18
13.00.5
10.110.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed