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Red57
603815.8
783016.8
753612.0
Blue29
566514.7
72989.6
364614.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433602060801005729

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.7
12.012.7
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End3.9
red by 2.1
5665
#23
14.71.2
12.711.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End4.3
Second
6038
#11
15.80.7
17.217.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End4.2
red by 1.7
3646
#14
14.00.7
11.510.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End5.1
Third
7536
#22
12.00.7
11.412.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End1.0
red by 2.4
7298
#17
9.61.2
9.98.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsEarned