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Red47
78319.6
784023.2
601417.4
Blue35
364614.0
78289.8
753612.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383410203050604735

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.2
15.316.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End6.5
red by 9.2
3646
#14
14.00.2
11.611.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End5.1
Second
6014
#15
17.41.2
14.615.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End2.3
red by 5.4
7536
#22
12.00.4
12.112.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Third
7831
#28
9.61.2
6.47.6
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End3.4
blue by 0.2
7828
#24
9.80.4
8.08.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed