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Red39
63888.7
683817.8
783016.8
Blue27
754415.4
74399.8
78396.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413210205060703927

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.0
15.115.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End2.5
red by 2.4
15.40.7
13.312.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
Second
16.80.0
12.412.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End3.9
red by 7.0
7439
#25
9.80.7
12.311.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Third
6388
#21
8.70.0
11.111.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
red by 2.1
7839
#31
6.60.7
5.14.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed