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Red30
776111.6
566514.7
622812.1
Blue41
63888.7
754912.4
601417.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37420102030506070803041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#23
14.70.6
12.612.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End4.3
blue by 2.6
6014
#15
17.40.2
15.816.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End2.3
Second
6228
#20
12.10.6
14.113.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End4.3
blue by 0.3
7549
#12
12.40.2
12.512.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Third
7761
#30
11.60.6
8.58.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End2.4
red by 2.9
6388
#21
8.70.2
11.111.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed