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Red33
72989.6
622812.1
603815.8
Blue29
74399.8
784112.1
63888.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39381020305060703329

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6038
#11
15.81.0
18.517.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End4.2
red by 3.7
7841
#19
12.10.7
14.013.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Second
6228
#20
12.11.0
12.411.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End4.3
red by 2.3
7439
#25
9.80.7
11.510.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Third
7298
#17
9.61.0
6.15.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End2.8
red by 0.8
6388
#21
8.70.7
10.39.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed