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Red33
774215.6
68745.5
683817.8
Blue37
784112.1
78289.8
566514.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40403035453337

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.3
15.815.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End2.5
red by 3.1
5665
#23
14.70.1
14.214.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End4.3
Second
7742
#29
15.60.4
15.515.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End3.7
red by 3.5
7841
#19
12.10.1
13.413.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Third
6874
#32
5.50.4
6.25.8
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.5
blue by 4.3
7828
#24
9.80.1
10.110.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed