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Red33
603815.8
707012.6
784112.1
Blue52
784023.2
785110.7
775810.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47431020305060703352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6038
#11
15.81.0
17.516.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End4.2
blue by 7.5
23.20.7
21.322.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Second
12.60.9
13.212.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End2.7
red by 2.0
7851
#27
10.70.7
10.010.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End2.8
Third
7841
#19
12.10.9
13.312.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.8
red by 1.6
7758
#10
10.50.7
9.410.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed