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Red29
775810.5
707012.6
754415.4
Blue15
63888.7
68745.5
72989.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3639152025304550552915

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.40.8
12.812.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
red by 5.8
7298
#17
9.62.3
12.29.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Second
12.60.8
11.911.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End2.7
red by 3.9
6388
#21
8.72.3
9.57.2
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Third
7758
#10
10.50.8
11.110.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End1.5
red by 5.0
6874
#32
5.52.3
13.711.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed