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Red30
784023.2
606426.5
63888.7
Blue67
603815.8
754415.4
566514.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59482040801003067

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.6
25.624.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.1
End5.9
red by 10.7
6038
#11
15.80.3
15.515.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End4.2
Second
23.20.6
22.321.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End6.5
red by 7.8
15.40.3
15.115.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
Third
6388
#21
8.70.6
7.87.2
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
blue by 6.0
5665
#23
14.70.3
14.414.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End4.3