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Red29
690215.0
698819.3
643012.6
Blue40
757016.8
699911.1
623213.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4135203050602940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.32.2
14.212.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End2.4
red by 2.5
16.86.0
16.810.8
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End0.9
Second
6902
#23
15.02.2
13.010.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End2.4
red by 1.5
6232
#21
13.50.7
11.211.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Third
6430
#32
12.62.2
11.89.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End4.2
red by 1.5
6999
#18
11.10.7
12.212.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed