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Red38
623213.5
75699.2
698518.1
Blue41
757616.4
729618.1
683812.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38412530354550553841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6985
#19
18.10.1
14.114.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Level
7296
#15
18.10.7
14.513.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End3.4
Second
6232
#21
13.50.1
11.411.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 2.9
16.40.7
11.410.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End6.4
Third
7569
#28
9.20.1
10.310.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End2.5
blue by 2.8
6838
#13
12.00.7
12.511.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed