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Red36
290515.2
66979.9
76839.6
Blue48
760010.3
76287.4
683812.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323010152025354045503648

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#11
15.20.6
14.715.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End2.8
red by 3.2
6838
#13
12.00.6
12.713.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.3
Second
6697
#26
9.90.6
10.210.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 0.4
7600
#29
10.30.6
8.28.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End2.6
Third
7683
#25
9.60.6
5.86.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
red by 2.2
7628
#30
7.40.6
7.17.7
Auto1.3
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed