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Red50
722819.8
56559.5
698518.1
Blue53
768419.3
748111.2
623213.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383525304045505053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.6
15.216.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End7.4
red by 0.5
19.32.2
12.915.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End2.3
Second
6985
#19
18.11.6
15.717.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End4.0
red by 4.6
6232
#21
13.52.2
11.613.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Third
5655
#16
9.51.6
4.76.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End2.1
blue by 1.7
7481
#27
11.22.2
9.011.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed