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Red41
75699.2
683812.0
690215.0
Blue25
76378.9
643012.6
76287.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393101020506070804125

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6902
#23
15.00.1
14.014.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End2.4
red by 2.5
6430
#32
12.60.7
13.112.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End4.2
Second
6838
#13
12.00.1
12.412.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.3
red by 3.2
7637
#34
8.90.7
8.67.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.6
End2.0
Third
7569
#28
9.20.1
10.110.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 1.8
7628
#30
7.40.7
7.97.2
Auto1.3
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed