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Red50
657918.2
396618.5
775314.5
Blue52
766112.4
186825.4
683112.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53602040801005052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3966
#55
18.50.0
19.119.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End4.2
blue by 7.0
1868
#26
25.40.5
26.926.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End7.0
Second
6579
#44
18.20.0
20.120.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 5.8
7661
#46
12.40.7
15.014.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Third
7753
#47
14.50.0
10.710.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
red by 2.4
6831
#61
12.10.5
14.714.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed68%HAB Docking oddsMissed