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Red43
283923.8
170022.8
571610.1
Blue94
667227.7
161932.3
607216.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668140601001204394

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2839
#39
23.81.3
25.824.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End6.2
blue by 8.6
1619
#20
32.31.1
34.835.9
Auto4.0
Teleop20.1
End8.2
Second
1700
#13
22.81.3
22.621.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.6
End4.8
blue by 4.9
27.71.1
27.528.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End8.5
Third
5716
#59
10.11.4
14.212.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.8
End3.0
blue by 6.8
6072
#32
16.81.1
14.815.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed34%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsEarned