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Red43
587218.1
762114.4
580518.5
Blue80
451324.0
172627.9
186825.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52812040601004380

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#53
18.50.4
18.017.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.4
blue by 9.4
1726
#24
27.90.0
29.729.8
Auto3.7
Teleop16.7
End7.5
Second
5872
#57
18.10.5
18.217.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.2
End2.8
blue by 7.3
1868
#26
25.40.0
25.225.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End7.0
Third
7621
#50
14.40.4
13.513.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End5.0
blue by 9.7
4513
#15
24.00.0
21.521.5
Auto5.2
Teleop16.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed82%HAB Docking oddsEarned