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Red38
69579.7
161932.3
727710.3
Blue56
593016.5
168325.3
303525.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63662040801003856

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#20
32.31.6
35.934.3
Auto4.0
Teleop20.1
End8.2
red by 6.9
3035
#36
25.40.6
24.223.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End6.8
Second
7277
#64
10.31.6
12.310.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 15.1
1683
#30
25.30.6
25.224.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.6
End5.3
Third
6957
#62
9.71.6
11.29.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.8
blue by 6.8
5930
#25
16.50.9
13.212.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsEarned