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Red56
347826.3
75288.6
283923.8
Blue57
580518.5
699512.8
142127.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686340506080905657

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#38
26.31.0
28.527.5
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End6.7
blue by 1.6
1421
#19
27.90.2
30.129.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.1
End6.2
Second
2839
#39
23.81.0
24.523.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End6.2
red by 5.3
5805
#53
18.50.2
17.617.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.4
Third
7528
#66
8.61.0
11.610.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.2
blue by 4.2
6995
#60
12.80.2
12.212.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed