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Red79
784020.3
452225.4
186825.4
Blue56
727710.3
639123.4
162220.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775820401007956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#26
25.40.4
25.225.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End7.0
red by 2.1
6391
#40
23.40.6
24.123.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.1
End3.8
Second
4522
#10
25.40.4
26.126.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.3
End6.2
red by 5.1
1622
#45
20.30.6
20.319.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End7.2
Third
7840
#22
20.30.4
21.722.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End6.8
red by 10.1
7277
#64
10.30.6
10.610.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned40%HAB Docking oddsMissed