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Red56
168325.3
580518.5
772421.2
Blue87
393318.4
667227.7
657918.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667240506080901001105687

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#30
25.30.6
24.623.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.6
End5.3
blue by 2.4
27.71.1
27.929.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End8.5
Second
7724
#43
21.20.6
20.720.0
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End3.2
red by 2.8
3933
#27
18.41.1
21.022.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.7
End4.2
Third
5805
#53
18.50.6
17.416.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.4
red by 0.3
6579
#44
18.21.1
19.220.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsEarned