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Red78
593016.5
173024.4
639123.4
Blue68
303525.4
546819.0
501227.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62753040507080901001107868

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#34
24.40.9
24.525.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.2
End6.9
blue by 3.0
5012
#23
27.50.6
27.827.2
Auto5.3
Teleop19.2
End2.9
Second
6391
#40
23.40.9
22.223.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.1
End3.8
blue by 2.0
3035
#36
25.40.6
24.523.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End6.8
Third
5930
#25
16.51.0
11.712.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.0
blue by 2.5
5468
#58
19.00.6
18.818.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed19%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed