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Red60
161932.3
614419.0
631514.8
Blue64
393731.1
186825.4
575413.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697502040601001201406064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#20
32.30.6
31.831.2
Auto4.0
Teleop20.1
End8.2
red by 1.3
3937
#17
31.10.7
32.431.7
Auto4.1
Teleop24.4
End2.6
Second
6144
#42
19.00.6
20.720.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End9.0
blue by 6.4
1868
#26
25.40.7
25.925.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End7.0
Third
6315
#56
14.80.6
13.112.6
Auto2.1
Teleop9.8
End2.9
red by 1.4
5754
#51
13.40.7
13.112.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
21%Rocket oddsMissed31%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsMissed