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Red96
461328.4
25438.7
238327.5
Blue62
580518.5
749414.9
170022.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions995740801201409662

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
38.70.5
36.936.5
Auto4.6
Teleop25.8
End8.2
red by 15.9
1700
#13
22.80.5
22.723.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.6
End4.8
Second
28.40.5
29.529.0
Auto3.4
Teleop16.6
End8.3
red by 9.9
5805
#53
18.50.5
17.518.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.4
Third
27.50.5
27.527.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End7.8
red by 12.6
7494
#52
14.90.5
14.214.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
33%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed