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Red96
452225.4
546819.0
161932.3
Blue74
445129.1
580518.5
396618.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7868405060901001101209674

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#20
32.31.1
31.232.3
Auto4.0
Teleop20.1
End8.2
red by 3.2
4451
#18
29.10.4
27.828.3
Auto3.4
Teleop17.7
End8.0
Second
4522
#10
25.41.1
24.525.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.3
End6.2
red by 6.9
3966
#55
18.50.4
18.919.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End4.2
Third
5468
#58
19.01.1
18.219.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 0.5
5805
#53
18.50.4
18.018.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
34%Rocket oddsEarned7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
89%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned