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Red49
99856.8
752621.2
764515.6
Blue38
61919.8
763215.2
998410.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463702060804938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End4.7
red by 5.9
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
Second
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End6.0
red by 5.5
9984
#15
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Third
9985
#16
6.80.0
6.86.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.9
blue by 3.0
6191
#13
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking odds24%HAB Docking odds