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Red45
99869.2
764515.6
998813.4
Blue56
763215.2
763610.8
99893.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403202060804556

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End6.0
red by 0.4
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
Second
13.40.0
13.413.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
red by 2.6
7636
#11
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Third
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
red by 5.4
9989
#10
3.80.0
3.83.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking odds14%HAB Docking odds