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Red51
763215.2
99869.2
752714.9
Blue33
767316.4
998813.4
998410.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4241203050605133

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
blue by 1.2
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Second
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 1.5
13.40.0
13.413.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Third
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
blue by 0.9
9984
#15
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking odds14%HAB Docking odds